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Old 07-24-2006, 10:33 PM
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zimno1 zimno1 is offline
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Default new york 2007 fluke catastrophy

summer flounder will be a disaster in 2007. Here's the poop

1. - Magnuson-Stevens Act (MSA) says rebuild managed stocks ASAP not to exceed 10 years; for Summer Flounder that means 1/1/2010

2. - Our biological reference point (BRP) for Summer Flounder's maximum sustainable biomass is 204 million pounds (the BPR was vetted in 2004)

3. - The stock is currently at about 112 million pounds

4. - The issue is how do we increase the stock size by 90+ million pounds in the next three years?

this statement will give you an idea of how bad the rec fishing industry is going to fare next year. there will be no recourse but to either close the fishery or severely cut the existing limit to one fish if that. Staff recommended 19.9 million pounds as the TAL for 2007 based on Plan's target F rate of 0.276. This has a 50% probability that we will meet our Plan's rebuilding schedule. It also means there's a 50% chance it won't. That empty side of the glass, together with just three years to go to get to 204 million pounds of Summer Flounder has NMFS panicked into recommending a TAL of 5.2 million pounds. do the math

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